As the Iran war enters its fifth week and the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed, Goldman Sachs has issued a stark warning in its April 2026 report titled “Are We Running Out of Oil?” The bank’s analysts, led by Yulia Zhestkova Grigsby, conclude that the world is indeed facing acute physical shortages of crude […]
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The global energy domino is falling fast — and it is carving the world into two stark categories: nations with enough fuel buffers, refining muscle, and diplomatic leverage to ride out the storm, and those staring down fuel rationing, failed harvests, and economic free-fall. One month into the Iran war, the closure of the Strait […]
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The Iran war, now stretching into its third week with the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed since early March 2026, has delivered the largest oil supply disruption in history. Gulf producers have slashed output by at least 10 million barrels per day (mb/d), but the global shortfall is “only” 8–10 mb/d thanks to pre-positioned floating […]
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In the midst of escalating tensions in the Middle East, with U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran and retaliatory actions disrupting global energy flows, the question looms large: Are we truly in the throes of an oil crisis? As of March 15, 2026, the Strait of Hormuz—a vital chokepoint carrying roughly 20% of the world\’s […]
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In a strategic move amid escalating geopolitical tensions, Saudi Arabia is ramping up efforts to bypass the disrupted Strait of Hormuz by utilizing its East-West Pipeline, also known as Petroline. This backup infrastructure allows the kingdom to redirect crude oil from its eastern fields to the Red Sea port of Yanbu, avoiding the chokepoint that\’s […]
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In the wake of escalating geopolitical tensions and a rapidly evolving global energy landscape, Russia is decisively pivoting its gas and oil exports eastward. This strategic shift, driven by lucrative opportunities in Asia amid disruptions from the ongoing Iran conflict, is reshaping international energy dynamics. As Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak recently confirmed, negotiations are […]
Continue ReadingENB Pub Note: This is an outstanding article from Andrew Korybko\’s Newsletter on Substack. What he does not mention in the article is that if you tie the Venezuelan pricing controls that Stu Turley expects to be dropped onto Iran, and possibly Iraq, it really starts to show the refining of the global oil markets. […]
Continue ReadingThe Strait of Hormuz, a narrow waterway connecting the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Oman, remains one of the world\’s most vital energy arteries. In 2024, approximately 20 million barrels per day (b/d) of crude oil, condensate, and petroleum products transited this chokepoint, representing about 20% of global petroleum liquids consumption. Additionally, around one-fifth […]
Continue ReadingAs the world’s two largest oil importers grapple with geopolitical risks, supply disruptions, and the imperative of energy security, both China and India are pouring billions into boosting domestic oil and gas output. While progress varies sharply between the two Asian giants, the shared strategy underscores a long-term bet on self-reliance — even as new […]
Continue ReadingENB Pub Note: This is another interesting article from Andrew Korybko\’s Substack newsletter. The cascading consequences of such a blockade, which might not ultimately be imposed due it entailing a high risk of war with Iran, could simultaneously weaken Russia, India, and China. The Wall Street Journal reported that Trump 2.0 is considering imposing a Venezuelan-like oil […]
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